Israel Elections 2022: Exit polls show Netanyahu likely to be prime minister again
Photo: Yonatan Sindel/Flash90
Exit polls on Nov. 1, 2022, show that opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu will likely again become prime minister of Israel.

If the tallies hold, the Likud Party leader should be able to form a right-wing/religious coalition.

(JNS) Exit polls showed Israeli opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc garnering a parliamentary majority in Tuesday’s national election.

According to the polls on all three major channels, Netanyahu would be able to form a 61-seat or 62-seat right-wing coalition.

“This is a good beginning,” the former prime minister said shortly after the results were revealed. “We expect the numbers to increase. We will wait for the final results.”

On Israel’s Channel 12 and Kan News, Netanyahu’s Likud received 30 seats in the exit poll. The party received 32 from Israel’s Channel 13.

The other right-wing parties received the following number of votes from Channel 12: Religious Zionism 14; Shas 10; and United Torah Judaism 7.

The Channel 12 exit poll found the center-left receiving the following number of seats: Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid 24; National Unity 11; Labor 6: Meretz 5; and Israel Beiteinu 4.

The Arab parties polled as follows: Ra’am 5 and Hadash-Ta’al 4.

The Balad party did not cross the 3.25% vote threshold to enter the next Knesset, and neither did Ayelet Shaked’s Jewish Home party.

According to Channel 13‘s exit poll, the Likud Party was projected to win 31 seats, with Religious Zionism at 14; Shas 10; and United Torah Judaism 7. Together, the center-right would have 62 seats.

The center-left parties would receive the following number of seats, according to the Channel 13 exit poll: Lapid’s Yesh Atid 24; National Unity 12; Labor 5: Meretz 4; and Israel Beiteinu 4. Ra’am was predicted to win 5 seats and Hadash-Ta’al 4.

Notably, the pollster that conducted the Channel 13 survey highlighted the fact that the anti-Zionist Balad Party’s percentage of the overall vote had reached 3.1%, just short of the electoral threshold of 3.25%. If Balad surpasses the threshold, then Netanyahu’s bloc is projected to win 60 seats, just shy of a majority. However, Ra’am leader Mansour Abbas told Israel TV that he does not believe that his fellow Arab party will get enough votes to enter the next parliament.

Meanwhile, a Kan exit poll also found Netanyahu’s bloc securing 62 mandates, with Likud projected to win 30 seats; Religious Zionism 15; Shas 10; and United Torah Judaism 7.

Lapid’s Yesh Atid was forecast to garner 22 seats, National Unity 13; Labor 5: Meretz 4; and Israel Beiteinu 4.

Ra’am was predicted to win 5 seats and Hadash-Ta’al 4.

Israeli President Isaac Herzog will need to designate a candidate to form a government by Nov. 8, and based on these results it will likely be Netanyahu. The former prime minister would have four weeks to form a coalition.

World Likud head Danny Danon, a former ambassador to the United Nations and minister of science, technology and space, said in response to the prospective Likud Party victory: “The State of Israel is today finally returning to its common sense. After years of political instability, the citizens of Israel voted today in favor of a national government that will restore security and governance to the cities of Israel. In the coming days we will establish a stable and strong national government that will work for all the citizens of Israel.”

As of 8 p.m. on Tuesday, 4,498,410 Israelis, or 66.3% of eligible voters, had cast their ballots. Some 6,788,804 people were eligible to vote at more than 12,000 stations set up across the country.

The high turnout reflects the electorate’s trust in the Jewish state’s democratic system, said Herzog during a visit earlier Tuesday to the Central Elections Committee at the Knesset.

“It’s very impressive to see this diverse, sophisticated, supervised and responsible operation, and I am convinced that the CEC will do its work faithfully and of course will thus reflect the public’s confidence in the electoral process,” Herzog added.

Overall, 39 parties ran in the election, Israel’s fifth parliamentary vote in under four years.

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